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NAR Existing Home Sales forecasting challenge

activeReal Estate

NAR Existing Home Sales — March 2026

Predict the seasonally adjusted annual rate of existing home sales for March 2026, as reported by the National Association of Realtors.

1 predictors25d 10h remaining$100 prize($100)

Sponsored by MacroSeer, Inc. — $100 prize funded by MacroSeer

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1 Prediction to Make

1

How many existing homes (millions, SAAR) will NAR report were sold in March 2026?

Current: 4.26 millions, SAAR (NAR Existing Home Sales — February 2026 (millions, SAAR, most recent)) · 27 day horizon

How ties are resolved

1

Closest prediction wins

The prediction nearest to the official outcome takes the highest rank.

2

Tiebreaker prediction

If two predictions are equally close, a second prediction submitted before resolution breaks the tie.

3

First to lock

If still tied, the predictor who locked their prediction earliest wins.

4

Random draw

If all else is equal, a cryptographically secure random draw determines the final ranking. The draw is logged and auditable.

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